Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 53.9%). Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Thomas wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 54.5% vs Hintz 53.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 56.3%
Defensive zone
Thomas 54.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 61.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Thomas
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Thomas
Hintz
Last 10: Thomas 3-7 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
4
Thomas
Hintz
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
3
8
Thomas
Hintz
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
0
Thomas
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (990)
53.6% (711)
+1.7%
Power Play
54.2% (190)
53.8% (93)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (158)
58.7% (46)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Thomas shoots right. Hintz is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Thomas
Hintz
Home
55.1% (690)
52.6% (460)
Away
54.5% (648)
55.4% (390)
By Period
Thomas
Hintz
P1
55.5%
59.0%
P2
56.4%
52.7%
P3
51.5%
51.1%
OT
69.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |