Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.7% vs Thompson 45.3% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 53.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 51.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 51.6%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Thomas
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Thomas
Thompson
Last 10: Thomas 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
2
Thomas
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
1
Thomas
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Thomas
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (615)
44.9% (642)
+5.2%
Power Play
62.2% (98)
47.9% (94)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (114)
33.3% (33)
+19.3%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Thomas is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Thomas shoots right. Thompson is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Thomas
Thompson
Home
51.9% (374)
46.0% (391)
Away
51.9% (453)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Thomas
Thompson
P1
49.2%
48.1%
P2
55.3%
44.9%
P3
50.6%
41.2%
OT
57.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.2%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |