Robert Thomas vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thomas wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 54.5% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 57.8%
Defensive zone
Thomas 64.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 63.3%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Thomas
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Thomas
Karlsson
Last 6: Thomas 2-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thomas
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Thomas
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (990)
58.6% (597)
-3.3%
Power Play
54.2% (190)
57.9% (57)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (158)
51.9% (52)
+0.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Thomas shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Thomas
Karlsson
Home
55.1% (690)
59.6% (344)
Away
54.5% (648)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Thomas
Karlsson
P1
55.5%
53.1%
P2
56.4%
62.1%
P3
51.5%
60.1%
OT
69.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.6%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:31 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |