Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Grimaldi wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grimaldi 46.6% vs Bozak 55.8% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 87.4%
Defensive zone
Bozak 75.9%
Neutral zone
Bozak 68.2%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
Grimaldi
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Grimaldi
Bozak
Last 7: Grimaldi 5-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grimaldi
1
0
Grimaldi
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Grimaldi
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grimaldi
2
0
Grimaldi
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grimaldi
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (106)
56.4% (837)
-12.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
60.8% (186)
-60.8%
On power play, Bozak has a +60.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Grimaldi is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Grimaldi shoots right. Bozak is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Grimaldi
Bozak
Home
44.4% (36)
58.7% (516)
Away
43.1% (72)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Grimaldi
Bozak
P1
50.0%
55.7%
P2
40.0%
53.4%
P3
42.4%
59.7%
OT
0.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
65.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grimaldi
46.0%▲
43.5%
43.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2016 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Rocco Grimaldi |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Rocco Grimaldi |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Rocco Grimaldi |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Rocco Grimaldi |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | Rocco Grimaldi |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |