Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Grimaldi wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grimaldi 46.2% vs Bozak 53.4% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 82.1%
Defensive zone
Bozak 86.7%
Neutral zone
Bozak 67.7%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 80.6%
19.4%
80.6%
Grimaldi
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Grimaldi
Bozak
Last 7: Grimaldi 5-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grimaldi
1
0
Grimaldi
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Grimaldi
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grimaldi
2
0
Grimaldi
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grimaldi
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (142)
53.7% (9,596)
-10.7%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
55.2% (1,990)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
48.0% (1,094)
+52.0%
On penalty kill, Grimaldi has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Grimaldi is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Grimaldi shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Grimaldi
Bozak
Home
43.2% (44)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
43.7% (103)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Grimaldi
Bozak
P1
48.1%
53.2%
P2
38.8%
52.8%
P3
44.4%
54.5%
OT
0.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
63.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grimaldi
46.0%▲
43.5%
43.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2016 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Rocco Grimaldi |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Rocco Grimaldi |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Rocco Grimaldi |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Rocco Grimaldi |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | Rocco Grimaldi |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |