Scouting Report
Bill Thomas holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Pelley 52.1% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 60.0%
Defensive zone
Pelley 56.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.0%
Result
Rod Pelley favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Thomas
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Thomas
Pelley
Last 5: Thomas 4-1 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
1
Thomas
Pelley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
0
Thomas
Pelley
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Pelley
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (20)
53.4% (208)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.5% (103)
-0.5%
On even strength, Thomas has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Thomas is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Thomas shoots right. Pelley is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Thomas
Pelley
Home
55.6% (9)
55.1% (127)
Away
61.5% (13)
51.3% (193)
By Period
Thomas
Pelley
P1
71.4%
56.0%
P2
50.0%
49.6%
P3
60.0%
53.0%
Final 5 min
62.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
52.0%▬
52.0%
59.1%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Rod Pelley |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Bill Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 12:22 | Defensive | Bill Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Bill Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Bill Thomas |