Scouting Report
Rod Pelley holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pelley on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). VandeVelde wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Pelley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
VandeVelde 48.6% vs Pelley 49.4% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
VandeVelde 53.0%
Defensive zone
Pelley 50.6%
Neutral zone
VandeVelde 52.0%
Result
Chris VandeVelde favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
VandeVelde
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
VandeVelde
Pelley
Last 8: VandeVelde 3-5 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
VandeVelde
Pelley
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
1
VandeVelde
Pelley
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
1
2
VandeVelde
Pelley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
VandeVelde
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (32)
49.6% (232)
-5.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (4)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
53.3% (15)
-10.4%
On power play, VandeVelde has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. VandeVelde is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
VandeVelde shoots left. Pelley is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
VandeVelde
Pelley
Home
43.8% (16)
50.0% (94)
Away
45.8% (24)
48.8% (160)
By Period
VandeVelde
Pelley
P1
57.1%
46.0%
P2
40.9%
49.0%
P3
45.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
33.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
VandeVelde
50.0%▲
42.0%
45.0%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Chris VandeVelde |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Chris VandeVelde |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Chris VandeVelde |