Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pelley on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pelley 49.4% vs Kesler 53.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 69.7%
Defensive zone
Kesler 64.3%
Neutral zone
Kesler 71.7%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Pelley
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Pelley
Kesler
Last 7: Pelley 5-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
1
0
Pelley
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
3
2
Pelley
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
1
0
Pelley
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pelley
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (232)
53.8% (981)
-4.2%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
56.9% (160)
-56.9%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (15)
49.2% (185)
+4.1%
On power play, Kesler has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Pelley is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (86).
Pelley shoots left. Kesler is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (959).
Home / Away
Pelley
Kesler
Home
50.0% (94)
54.1% (690)
Away
48.8% (160)
53.1% (661)
By Period
Pelley
Kesler
P1
46.0%
52.3%
P2
49.0%
52.8%
P3
55.6%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 05:56 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |