Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pelley on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pelley 51.0% vs Kesler 55.9% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Pelley leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 87.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 79.2%
Neutral zone
Kesler 83.6%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 80.3%
19.7%
80.3%
Pelley
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Pelley
Kesler
Last 10: Pelley 8-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
1
0
Pelley
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
7
2
Pelley
Kesler
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
1
0
Pelley
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pelley
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (440)
56.4% (8,095)
-5.0%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
60.7% (1,437)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (118)
50.5% (1,908)
+0.3%
On power play, Kesler has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Pelley is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Pelley shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Pelley
Kesler
Home
52.9% (221)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
50.1% (353)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Pelley
Kesler
P1
50.8%
56.5%
P2
49.3%
55.9%
P3
53.8%
56.1%
OT
100.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 05:56 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Nov 1, 2010 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Nov 1, 2010 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Nov 1, 2010 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Nov 1, 2010 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |