Scouting Report
Rod Pelley holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pelley 51.0% vs Gagner 46.0% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 63.3%
Defensive zone
Pelley 77.4%
Neutral zone
Pelley 65.4%
Result
Rod Pelley favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Pelley
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Pelley
Gagner
Last 7: Pelley 4-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Pelley
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
1
0
Pelley
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
2
1
Pelley
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pelley
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (440)
45.4% (4,699)
+6.0%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
51.5% (928)
-26.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (118)
35.0% (226)
+15.8%
On power play, Gagner has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Pelley is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Pelley shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Pelley
Gagner
Home
52.9% (221)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
50.1% (353)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Pelley
Gagner
P1
50.8%
44.6%
P2
49.3%
46.1%
P3
53.8%
47.3%
OT
100.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Rod Pelley |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 3 | 01:56 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |