Scouting Report
Rod Pelley holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pelley 51.0% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 56.3%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 50.4%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 52.4%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Pelley
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Pelley
Horcoff
Last 6: Pelley 2-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
3
Pelley
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Pelley
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
2
0
Pelley
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pelley
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (440)
50.6% (3,133)
+0.8%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
51.4% (555)
-26.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (118)
43.0% (567)
+7.8%
On power play, Horcoff has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Pelley is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Pelley shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
Pelley
Horcoff
Home
52.9% (221)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
50.1% (353)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Pelley
Horcoff
P1
50.8%
48.2%
P2
49.3%
49.5%
P3
53.8%
50.9%
OT
100.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 13:48 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |