Scouting Report
Rodrigo Abols holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Abols on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Abols shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Abols 51.6% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 91.1%
Defensive zone
Malkin 66.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 80.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Malkin
Abols
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Malkin
Abols
Last 5: Malkin 0-5 Abols
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Abols
0
2
Malkin
Abols
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Abols
0
3
Malkin
Abols
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Abols
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
52.2% (293)
-6.5%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
50.0% (4)
-15.4%
On power play, Abols has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Abols shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Abols is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Malkin
Abols
Home
50.4% (113)
54.7% (150)
Away
39.4% (132)
49.7% (153)
By Period
Malkin
Abols
P1
47.7%
54.4%
P2
44.9%
46.3%
P3
40.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
35.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |