Scouting Report
Rodrigo Abols holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Greene on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Abols wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abols 53.1% vs Greene 44.7% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abols 56.0%
Defensive zone
Greene 55.9%
Neutral zone
Greene 65.0%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Abols
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Abols
Greene
Last 5: Abols 2-3 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Abols
Greene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greene
1
2
Abols
Greene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abols
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (402)
43.7% (524)
+10.0%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
47.5% (59)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
43.6% (149)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Abols has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Abols is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Abols shoots left. Greene is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Abols
Greene
Home
56.3% (215)
47.4% (382)
Away
51.2% (201)
40.3% (350)
By Period
Abols
Greene
P1
55.6%
46.4%
P2
47.3%
38.9%
P3
59.0%
47.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Greene
40.0%▬
40.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:37 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |