Scouting Report
Cory Emmerton holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 48.7% vs Horak 43.1% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 78.7%
Defensive zone
Emmerton 52.5%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 59.2%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Emmerton
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Emmerton
Horak
Last 5: Emmerton 3-2 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Emmerton
Horak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
1
Emmerton
Horak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (299)
40.1% (399)
+8.1%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
53.8% (26)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
50.0% (14)
+7.1%
On power play, Horak has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Emmerton is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Emmerton shoots left. Horak is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Horak
Home
49.7% (183)
40.5% (227)
Away
46.2% (130)
42.5% (214)
By Period
Emmerton
Horak
P1
45.5%
42.3%
P2
50.0%
40.5%
P3
49.4%
41.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 18:42 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |