Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 50.5% vs Horak 46.9% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horak 88.2%
Defensive zone
Horak 62.5%
Neutral zone
Horak 73.2%
Result
Roman Horak favored at 83.9%
16.1%
83.9%
Lapierre
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Lapierre
Horak
Last 7: Lapierre 1-6 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horak
0
5
Lapierre
Horak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lapierre
Horak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (416)
44.4% (189)
+8.5%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
45.5% (11)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (115)
80.0% (5)
-38.3%
On penalty kill, Horak has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Lapierre is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Lapierre shoots right. Horak is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Horak
Home
48.7% (277)
49.5% (93)
Away
52.5% (265)
42.0% (112)
By Period
Lapierre
Horak
P1
56.6%
41.7%
P2
43.9%
51.5%
P3
52.7%
44.6%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.6%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 17:21 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Roman Horak |