Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Horak wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Carter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horak 43.1% vs Carter 49.8% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horak 69.9%
Defensive zone
Horak 71.8%
Neutral zone
Horak 72.1%
Result
Roman Horak favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Horak
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Horak
Carter
Last 5: Horak 1-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Horak
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horak
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Horak
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horak
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (399)
49.7% (390)
-9.6%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
57.1% (7)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (14)
48.5% (33)
+1.5%
On even strength, Carter has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Horak is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Horak shoots left. Carter is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Horak
Carter
Home
40.5% (227)
51.5% (171)
Away
42.5% (214)
48.7% (261)
By Period
Horak
Carter
P1
42.3%
50.7%
P2
40.5%
48.4%
P3
41.5%
50.4%
Final 5 min
41.9%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
41.5%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Roman Horak |