Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Horak wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Carter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horak 43.9% vs Carter 49.8% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horak 71.0%
Defensive zone
Horak 68.9%
Neutral zone
Horak 72.9%
Result
Roman Horak favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Horak
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Horak
Carter
Last 5: Horak 1-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Horak
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horak
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Horak
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horak
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (594)
50.1% (978)
-8.3%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
60.0% (15)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
46.4% (138)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Horak has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Horak is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Horak shoots left. Carter is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Horak
Carter
Home
43.7% (325)
49.0% (506)
Away
42.2% (327)
50.3% (632)
By Period
Horak
Carter
P1
42.4%
50.5%
P2
44.2%
48.9%
P3
42.6%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Roman Horak |