Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horak wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horak 43.9% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horak 63.1%
Defensive zone
Horak 65.5%
Neutral zone
Horak 63.0%
Result
Roman Horak favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Horak
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Horak
Getzlaf
Last 8: Horak 3-5 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Horak
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
2
Horak
Getzlaf
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Horak
Getzlaf
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horak
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (594)
49.6% (10,258)
-7.8%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
54.9% (1,381)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
44.8% (1,055)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Horak has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Horak is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Horak shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (9,181).
Home / Away
Horak
Getzlaf
Home
43.7% (325)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
42.2% (327)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Horak
Getzlaf
P1
42.4%
49.2%
P2
44.2%
50.4%
P3
42.6%
49.7%
OT
0.0%
49.1%
Final 5 min
42.3%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Roman Horak |