Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horak 46.9% vs Kesler 55.6% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 86.4%
Defensive zone
Kesler 72.7%
Neutral zone
Kesler 81.8%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 79.1%
20.9%
79.1%
Horak
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horak
Kesler
Last 5: Horak 4-1 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horak
1
0
Horak
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horak
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horak
2
0
Horak
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horak
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (189)
57.6% (231)
-13.2%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
65.5% (29)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
51.2% (43)
+28.8%
On penalty kill, Horak has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Horak is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Horak shoots left. Kesler is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Horak
Kesler
Home
49.5% (93)
58.8% (114)
Away
42.0% (112)
56.6% (189)
By Period
Horak
Kesler
P1
41.7%
60.8%
P2
51.5%
60.0%
P3
44.6%
52.5%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.1%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
45.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Roman Horak |