Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horak on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Horak wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horak 43.9% vs Kesler 55.9% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Horak leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 67.2%
Defensive zone
Kesler 74.0%
Neutral zone
Kesler 74.1%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Horak
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Horak
Kesler
Last 10: Horak 6-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Horak
Kesler
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horak
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horak
4
3
Horak
Kesler
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horak
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (594)
56.4% (8,095)
-14.6%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
60.7% (1,437)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
50.5% (1,908)
+7.4%
On even strength, Kesler has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Horak is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Horak shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Horak
Kesler
Home
43.7% (325)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
42.2% (327)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Horak
Kesler
P1
42.4%
56.5%
P2
44.2%
55.9%
P3
42.6%
56.1%
OT
0.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |