Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horak wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horak 46.9% vs Koivu 51.2% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horak 56.5%
Defensive zone
Horak 54.9%
Neutral zone
Horak 53.6%
Result
Roman Horak favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Horak
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Horak
Koivu
Last 5: Horak 2-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Horak
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horak
1
0
Horak
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Horak
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horak
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (189)
52.5% (631)
-8.1%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
49.3% (73)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
47.6% (147)
+32.4%
On penalty kill, Horak has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Horak is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Horak shoots left. Koivu is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Horak
Koivu
Home
49.5% (93)
51.3% (431)
Away
42.0% (112)
51.4% (420)
By Period
Horak
Koivu
P1
41.7%
51.9%
P2
51.5%
52.9%
P3
44.6%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
43.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
45.4%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:59 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |