Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horak wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horak 43.9% vs Koivu 51.8% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horak 65.1%
Defensive zone
Horak 59.2%
Neutral zone
Horak 62.1%
Result
Roman Horak favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Horak
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Horak
Koivu
Last 6: Horak 2-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Horak
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horak
1
0
Horak
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Horak
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horak
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (594)
51.9% (3,221)
-10.1%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
59.3% (437)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
48.0% (764)
+9.9%
On even strength, Koivu has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Horak is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Horak shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Horak
Koivu
Home
43.7% (325)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
42.2% (327)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Horak
Koivu
P1
42.4%
51.1%
P2
44.2%
52.6%
P3
42.6%
51.8%
OT
0.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
42.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:59 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |