Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Horak wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horak 43.1% vs Nichol 56.2% (-16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nichol 70.7%
Defensive zone
Nichol 85.3%
Neutral zone
Nichol 80.1%
Result
Scott Nichol favored at 78.7%
21.3%
78.7%
Horak
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Horak
Nichol
Last 6: Horak 4-2 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horak
Nichol
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horak
Nichol
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horak
2
0
Horak
Nichol
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horak
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (399)
58.0% (371)
-17.9%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
25.0% (4)
+28.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (14)
57.3% (75)
-7.3%
On power play, Horak has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Horak is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Horak shoots left. Nichol is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Horak
Nichol
Home
40.5% (227)
58.6% (215)
Away
42.5% (214)
56.6% (235)
By Period
Horak
Nichol
P1
42.3%
56.1%
P2
40.5%
58.4%
P3
41.5%
57.8%
Final 5 min
41.9%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
41.5%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2012 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Roman Horak |