Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horak wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horak 43.9% vs Nichol 58.2% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nichol 79.9%
Defensive zone
Nichol 89.7%
Neutral zone
Nichol 86.9%
Result
Scott Nichol favored at 84.7%
15.3%
84.7%
Horak
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Horak
Nichol
Last 7: Horak 5-2 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horak
2
1
Horak
Nichol
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horak
Nichol
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horak
2
0
Horak
Nichol
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horak
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (594)
59.0% (948)
-17.2%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
42.9% (14)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
59.5% (185)
-1.6%
On even strength, Nichol has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Horak is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Horak shoots left. Nichol is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Horak
Nichol
Home
43.7% (325)
59.7% (576)
Away
42.2% (327)
58.1% (577)
By Period
Horak
Nichol
P1
42.4%
58.4%
P2
44.2%
57.3%
P3
42.6%
61.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Roman Horak |