Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Erne on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Erne wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erne 51.3% vs Hintz 53.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 76.1%
Defensive zone
Hintz 78.3%
Neutral zone
Hintz 78.1%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Erne
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Erne
Hintz
Last 5: Erne 4-1 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Erne
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Erne
3
0
Erne
Hintz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erne
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (179)
53.8% (3,722)
-0.7%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
55.4% (567)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
52.9% (221)
+0.9%
On power play, Hintz has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Erne is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (125).
Erne shoots left. Hintz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Erne
Hintz
Home
57.8% (109)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
45.5% (99)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
Erne
Hintz
P1
59.0%
55.5%
P2
48.6%
53.9%
P3
45.3%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
49.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erne
44.0%▼
51.5%
51.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Adam Erne |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 01:41 | Defensive | Adam Erne |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Adam Erne |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 07:03 | Offensive | Adam Erne |