Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.4%). Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 53.8% vs Johansen 53.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 27-24 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 51.3%
Defensive zone
Johansen 55.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Hintz
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
24
(51 meetings)
27
24
Hintz
Johansen
Last 10: Hintz 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
9
12
Hintz
Johansen
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
14
7
Hintz
Johansen
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
5
Hintz
Johansen
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,722)
53.1% (11,017)
+0.7%
Power Play
55.4% (567)
56.2% (2,163)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (221)
50.5% (978)
+2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Hintz is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,728).
Hintz shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Hintz
Johansen
Home
54.9% (2,317)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
52.9% (2,193)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Hintz
Johansen
P1
55.5%
53.2%
P2
53.9%
53.9%
P3
52.7%
52.8%
OT
49.3%
58.2%
Final 5 min
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 03:51 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| May 1, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 11, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |