Roope Hintz vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Roope Hintz holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hintz wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Hintz 53.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+5.4%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 65.7%
Defensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 65.3%
Neutral zone Nugent-Hopkins 76.2%
Result Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Hintz Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 5 (7 meetings)
2
5
Hintz Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Hintz 2-5 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
0
Hintz Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Hintz Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Hintz Nugent-Hopkins
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Hintz
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (711)
50.3% (479)
+3.3%
Power Play
53.8% (93)
50.0% (28)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
58.7% (46)
30.0% (50)
+28.7%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +28.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hintz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Hintz shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Hintz
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.6% (460)
48.9% (270)
Away
55.4% (390)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Hintz
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
59.0%
48.7%
P2
52.7%
50.0%
P3
51.1%
47.3%
OT
20.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
59.2%
43.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%
61.0%
53.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%
50.0%
48.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 26, 2025 3 18:20 Defensive Roope Hintz
Mar 26, 2025 3 13:54 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Mar 26, 2025 2 15:20 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Mar 26, 2025 1 07:02 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Mar 8, 2025 1 04:24 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 19, 2024 3 12:06 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 19, 2024 2 19:31 Offensive Roope Hintz