Roope Hintz vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hintz wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 53.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 76.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Hintz
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Hintz
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Hintz 2-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
0
Hintz
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Hintz
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Hintz
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (711)
50.3% (479)
+3.3%
Power Play
53.8% (93)
50.0% (28)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
58.7% (46)
30.0% (50)
+28.7%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hintz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Hintz shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Hintz
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.6% (460)
48.9% (270)
Away
55.4% (390)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Hintz
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
59.0%
48.7%
P2
52.7%
50.0%
P3
51.1%
47.3%
OT
20.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
59.2%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:24 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:06 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |