Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.2%). Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 53.5% vs Carrick 53.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 87.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 64.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 58.6%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Hintz
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hintz
Carrick
Last 5: Hintz 4-1 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
4
0
Hintz
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Hintz
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (711)
53.8% (654)
-0.2%
Power Play
53.8% (93)
0.0% (2)
+53.8%
Penalty Kill
58.7% (46)
63.9% (36)
-5.2%
On power play, Hintz has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Hintz is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Hintz shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Hintz
Carrick
Home
52.6% (460)
50.0% (328)
Away
55.4% (390)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Hintz
Carrick
P1
59.0%
56.7%
P2
52.7%
51.1%
P3
51.1%
54.8%
Final 5 min
59.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |