Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.5%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Hintz wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 53.8% vs Crosby 53.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 26-19 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 53.5%
Defensive zone
Hintz 54.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 52.2%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Hintz
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
26
(45 meetings)
19
26
Hintz
Crosby
Last 10: Hintz 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
7
Hintz
Crosby
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
7
9
Hintz
Crosby
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
9
10
Hintz
Crosby
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,722)
52.8% (17,990)
+1.0%
Power Play
55.4% (567)
57.4% (4,733)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (221)
47.1% (765)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hintz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Hintz shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Hintz
Crosby
Home
54.9% (2,317)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
52.9% (2,193)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Hintz
Crosby
P1
55.5%
53.6%
P2
53.9%
53.9%
P3
52.7%
53.3%
OT
49.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
54.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |