Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hintz wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 53.8% vs Novak 43.3% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 87.1%
Defensive zone
Hintz 92.8%
Neutral zone
Hintz 90.2%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 91.2%
91.2%
8.8%
Hintz
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hintz
Novak
Last 5: Hintz 4-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hintz
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
3
0
Hintz
Novak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,722)
42.1% (1,539)
+11.7%
Power Play
55.4% (567)
51.9% (133)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (221)
50.0% (2)
+2.9%
On even strength, Hintz has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Hintz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Hintz shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,078).
Home / Away
Hintz
Novak
Home
54.9% (2,317)
45.3% (814)
Away
52.9% (2,193)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Hintz
Novak
P1
55.5%
43.9%
P2
53.9%
42.8%
P3
52.7%
41.7%
OT
49.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:21 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |