Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hintz wins 59.4% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 55.3% vs Novak 43.5% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 83.0%
Defensive zone
Hintz 94.1%
Neutral zone
Hintz 89.7%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 91.5%
91.5%
8.5%
Hintz
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hintz
Novak
Last 5: Hintz 4-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hintz
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
3
0
Hintz
Novak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (512)
40.7% (460)
+15.6%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
61.5% (39)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
0.0% (1)
+45.8%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Hintz is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Hintz shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Hintz
Novak
Home
57.3% (262)
47.0% (236)
Away
55.3% (304)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Hintz
Novak
P1
54.8%
43.1%
P2
56.0%
43.1%
P3
57.5%
40.1%
Final 5 min
59.0%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:21 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |