Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hintz wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 53.5% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 64.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 57.1%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 66.2%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Hintz
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hintz
Karlsson
Last 8: Hintz 5-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
3
0
Hintz
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Hintz
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hintz
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (711)
58.6% (597)
-5.0%
Power Play
53.8% (93)
57.9% (57)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
58.7% (46)
51.9% (52)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Hintz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Hintz shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Hintz
Karlsson
Home
52.6% (460)
59.6% (344)
Away
55.4% (390)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Hintz
Karlsson
P1
59.0%
53.1%
P2
52.7%
62.1%
P3
51.1%
60.1%
OT
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.2%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 16:16 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 03:09 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |