Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Hintz wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 53.5% vs Gourde 49.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 58.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 67.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 71.1%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Hintz
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hintz
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Hintz
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Hintz
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (711)
51.2% (469)
+2.4%
Power Play
53.8% (93)
42.9% (21)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
58.7% (46)
37.5% (48)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hintz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Hintz shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Hintz
Gourde
Home
52.6% (460)
47.8% (301)
Away
55.4% (390)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Hintz
Gourde
P1
59.0%
47.3%
P2
52.7%
53.4%
P3
51.1%
48.6%
OT
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |