Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.0% vs Chartier 50.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 65.8%
Defensive zone
Chartier 51.0%
Neutral zone
Colton 51.2%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Colton
Chartier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Colton
Chartier
Last 5: Colton 2-3 Chartier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
2
Colton
Chartier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
2
1
Colton
Chartier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,800)
50.8% (329)
+0.8%
Power Play
48.8% (162)
66.7% (6)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
45.6% (79)
-11.1%
On power play, Chartier has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Colton is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Colton shoots left. Chartier is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Colton
Chartier
Home
51.9% (1,013)
48.3% (240)
Away
50.2% (978)
52.3% (174)
By Period
Colton
Chartier
P1
53.5%
51.5%
P2
52.6%
48.1%
P3
47.9%
50.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |