Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.0%). Look for Colton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Colton wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Chartier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.4% vs Chartier 51.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 60.3%
Defensive zone
Colton 54.3%
Neutral zone
Colton 51.1%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Colton
Chartier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Colton
Chartier
Last 5: Colton 2-3 Chartier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
2
Colton
Chartier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
2
1
Colton
Chartier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (741)
54.2% (225)
-2.1%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
75.0% (4)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
43.3% (67)
-1.2%
On power play, Chartier has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Colton shoots left. Chartier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Colton
Chartier
Home
54.0% (411)
49.5% (202)
Away
49.1% (409)
57.4% (94)
By Period
Colton
Chartier
P1
56.7%
51.6%
P2
53.1%
49.5%
P3
46.3%
54.6%
Final 5 min
44.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |