Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 49.0% vs Johansen 51.4% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 55.0%
Defensive zone
Colton 64.6%
Neutral zone
Colton 57.2%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Colton
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Colton
Johansen
Last 5: Colton 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Colton
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Colton
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (199)
51.5% (615)
-2.3%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
54.3% (140)
-21.0%
On power play, Johansen has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Colton is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Colton shoots left. Johansen is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Colton
Johansen
Home
46.3% (121)
52.4% (389)
Away
51.7% (87)
50.8% (433)
By Period
Colton
Johansen
P1
56.2%
53.4%
P2
46.8%
49.1%
P3
42.5%
51.5%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
48.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |