Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 54.0% vs Johansen 58.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 50.7%
Defensive zone
Colton 75.8%
Neutral zone
Colton 61.8%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Colton
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Colton
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Colton
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
0
Colton
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Colton
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (173)
59.8% (625)
-3.7%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
58.2% (196)
-1.9%
On even strength, Johansen has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Colton is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Colton shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Colton
Johansen
Home
55.3% (94)
60.3% (436)
Away
56.8% (95)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Colton
Johansen
P1
48.1%
61.3%
P2
62.5%
60.4%
P3
57.1%
56.0%
OT
0.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
56.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 02:53 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 19, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Ross Colton |