Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 50.8%). Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Colton wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.4% vs McLeod 50.7% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 60.7%
Defensive zone
Colton 62.2%
Neutral zone
Colton 51.4%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Colton
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Colton
McLeod
Last 8: Colton 2-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Colton
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Colton
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Colton
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (741)
51.3% (628)
+0.8%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
68.3% (41)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
30.6% (49)
+11.5%
On power play, McLeod has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Colton shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Colton
McLeod
Home
54.0% (411)
51.5% (394)
Away
49.1% (409)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Colton
McLeod
P1
56.7%
51.5%
P2
53.1%
47.0%
P3
46.3%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 13:58 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 10:15 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |