Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.0% vs Crosby 53.5% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 51.9%
Defensive zone
Colton 78.3%
Neutral zone
Colton 65.7%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Colton
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Colton
Crosby
Last 8: Colton 3-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Colton
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
0
Colton
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Colton
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,800)
52.8% (17,990)
-1.2%
Power Play
48.8% (162)
57.4% (4,733)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
47.1% (765)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Colton is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Colton shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Colton
Crosby
Home
51.9% (1,013)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
50.2% (978)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Colton
Crosby
P1
53.5%
53.6%
P2
52.6%
53.9%
P3
47.9%
53.3%
OT
25.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |