Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 48.5% vs Thompson 45.3% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 61.5%
Defensive zone
Colton 53.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 51.1%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Colton
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Colton
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
0
Colton
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (88)
44.9% (642)
+0.6%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
47.9% (94)
+23.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
33.3% (33)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Colton is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Colton shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Colton
Thompson
Home
44.7% (47)
46.0% (391)
Away
49.0% (49)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Colton
Thompson
P1
52.8%
48.1%
P2
47.1%
44.9%
P3
38.5%
41.2%
Final 5 min
41.2%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
46.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Ross Colton |