Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.7% vs 45.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 48.1% vs Thompson 46.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 54.0%
Defensive zone
Colton 51.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 57.7%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Colton
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Colton
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
0
Colton
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (76)
46.1% (484)
-1.4%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
48.4% (91)
+26.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
30.0% (20)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Colton is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Colton shoots left. Thompson is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Colton
Thompson
Home
42.1% (38)
47.9% (313)
Away
48.8% (43)
43.6% (282)
By Period
Colton
Thompson
P1
50.0%
50.5%
P2
46.7%
44.6%
P3
39.1%
42.3%
Final 5 min
25.0%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
45.7%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Ross Colton |