Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.0% vs Thompson 42.8% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 51.9%
Defensive zone
Colton 51.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 51.7%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Colton
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Colton
Thompson
Last 10: Colton 4-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
2
0
Colton
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
3
2
Colton
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
4
Colton
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,800)
42.9% (3,521)
+8.7%
Power Play
48.8% (162)
46.8% (372)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
33.6% (265)
+0.9%
On even strength, Colton has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Colton is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Colton shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
Colton
Thompson
Home
51.9% (1,013)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
50.2% (978)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Colton
Thompson
P1
53.5%
44.5%
P2
52.6%
43.6%
P3
47.9%
40.2%
OT
25.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 14:02 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 10:32 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 17:48 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 16:48 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 01:24 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Ross Colton |