Rourke Chartier vs Ryan Johansen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Chartier wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chartier 50.0% vs Johansen 53.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 63.4%
Defensive zone
Chartier 73.3%
Neutral zone
Chartier 65.6%
Result
Rourke Chartier favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Chartier
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Chartier
Johansen
Last 7: Chartier 2-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Chartier
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Chartier
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Chartier
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chartier
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (329)
53.1% (11,017)
-2.3%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
56.2% (2,163)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (79)
50.5% (978)
-4.9%
On power play, Chartier has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Chartier is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Chartier shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Chartier
Johansen
Home
48.3% (240)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
52.3% (174)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Chartier
Johansen
P1
51.5%
53.2%
P2
48.1%
53.9%
P3
50.3%
52.8%
Final 5 min
46.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 01:38 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |