Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chartier 51.5% vs Johansen 52.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 61.8%
Defensive zone
Chartier 52.8%
Neutral zone
Chartier 59.0%
Result
Rourke Chartier favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Chartier
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Chartier
Johansen
Last 6: Chartier 2-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Chartier
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Chartier
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Chartier
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chartier
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (225)
51.9% (597)
+2.3%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
57.9% (133)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
54.3% (81)
-11.0%
On power play, Chartier has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Chartier is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Chartier shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Chartier
Johansen
Home
49.5% (202)
55.8% (387)
Away
57.4% (94)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Chartier
Johansen
P1
51.6%
50.0%
P2
49.5%
56.2%
P3
54.6%
52.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
52.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 01:38 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |