Scouting Report
Rourke Chartier holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chartier 51.9% vs Carrick 49.5% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chartier 68.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 60.7%
Neutral zone
Chartier 62.3%
Result
Rourke Chartier favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Chartier
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Chartier
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chartier
1
0
Chartier
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chartier
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (27)
49.2% (307)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
48.2% (56)
+1.8%
On even strength, Chartier has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Chartier is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Chartier shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Chartier
Carrick
Home
54.5% (11)
50.3% (175)
Away
59.1% (22)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Chartier
Carrick
P1
56.3%
41.0%
P2
55.6%
51.2%
P3
62.5%
55.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
57.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 02:32 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |