Rourke Chartier vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Chartier on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chartier 50.0% vs Aho 51.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 82.4%
Defensive zone
Chartier 67.0%
Neutral zone
Chartier 54.1%
Result
Rourke Chartier favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Chartier
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Chartier
Aho
Last 7: Chartier 4-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Chartier
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Chartier
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chartier
3
1
Chartier
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chartier
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (329)
50.1% (6,619)
+0.7%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
58.9% (1,310)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (79)
46.3% (464)
-0.7%
On power play, Chartier has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Chartier is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Chartier shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Chartier
Aho
Home
48.3% (240)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
52.3% (174)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Chartier
Aho
P1
51.5%
51.1%
P2
48.1%
52.0%
P3
50.3%
50.7%
Final 5 min
46.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:54 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |