Scouting Report
Rourke Chartier holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Chartier wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chartier 51.9% vs Aho 51.2% (+6.2%)
Offensive zone
Aho 72.3%
Defensive zone
Chartier 60.9%
Neutral zone
Chartier 57.4%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Chartier
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chartier
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (27)
48.5% (778)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
50.8% (65)
-0.8%
On even strength, Chartier has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Chartier is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Chartier shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Chartier
Aho
Home
54.5% (11)
51.3% (530)
Away
59.1% (22)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Chartier
Aho
P1
56.3%
50.0%
P2
55.6%
51.3%
P3
62.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
57.6%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.4%