Aleksander Barkov vs Ryan Carpenter
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.4% vs Carpenter 49.1% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 83.3%
Defensive zone
Barkov 54.8%
Neutral zone
Barkov 63.0%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Barkov
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Barkov
Carpenter
Last 7: Barkov 5-2 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
5
0
Barkov
Carpenter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Barkov
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (724)
51.9% (81)
+1.1%
Power Play
62.6% (235)
41.2% (17)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (67)
42.9% (28)
+4.9%
On power play, Barkov has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Barkov is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Barkov shoots left. Carpenter is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Barkov
Carpenter
Home
56.1% (522)
60.3% (68)
Away
53.6% (504)
34.5% (58)
By Period
Barkov
Carpenter
P1
52.3%
43.2%
P2
56.8%
55.8%
P3
55.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
53.5%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 17, 2021 | 3 | 01:42 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 17, 2021 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 17, 2021 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |