Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 48.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.1% vs Carpenter 48.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Froese 53.4%
Defensive zone
Froese 59.5%
Neutral zone
Froese 50.9%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Froese
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Froese
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Froese
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Froese
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (984)
49.6% (2,027)
-0.3%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
41.5% (41)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (243)
43.9% (467)
-0.3%
On power play, Carpenter has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Froese is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Froese shoots right. Carpenter is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Froese
Carpenter
Home
50.0% (582)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
46.1% (657)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Froese
Carpenter
P1
45.5%
49.6%
P2
47.5%
47.7%
P3
50.8%
48.0%
OT
80.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |