Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.5% vs Carpenter 52.0% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 51.3%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 70.9%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 76.0%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Strome
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Strome
Carpenter
Last 5: Strome 4-1 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Carpenter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (829)
53.6% (267)
-6.3%
Power Play
69.0% (58)
28.6% (7)
+40.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
50.0% (32)
-30.0%
On power play, Strome has a +40.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Strome is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Strome shoots left. Carpenter is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Strome
Carpenter
Home
49.8% (468)
47.6% (145)
Away
46.9% (429)
57.1% (161)
By Period
Strome
Carpenter
P1
46.1%
51.7%
P2
52.9%
47.6%
P3
46.3%
57.4%
Final 5 min
50.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.4%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 05:50 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |