Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 55.6% vs Carpenter 50.2% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 67.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 80.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 76.7%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Thompson
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Thompson
Carpenter
Last 6: Thompson 4-2 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Carpenter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (482)
48.4% (314)
+9.3%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
60.0% (5)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (154)
57.0% (79)
-5.1%
On power play, Thompson has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Thompson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Thompson shoots left. Carpenter is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
Thompson
Carpenter
Home
59.0% (327)
55.8% (197)
Away
53.7% (311)
44.8% (201)
By Period
Thompson
Carpenter
P1
54.2%
48.3%
P2
61.3%
47.8%
P3
53.9%
54.6%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
59.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
56.4%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 10:35 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |